US Midterms 2026
Who controls Congress, according to real money. Market-implied probabilities for Senate and House control, read live from prediction markets — not pundits, not polls, the crowd's actual positions, tracked all the way to November.
→ What's priced right now: House vs Senate vs balance of powerMarkets tracked
10
chamber-control markets
Resolves
Nov 2026
US general election
24h volume
$1.5M
across tracked markets
Republicans Sweep
Democrats Sweep
Democratic Party
Republican Party
D Senate, R House
R Senate, D House
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Other
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
As of Sat, 03 Oct 2026 12:56:16 GMT · source: Polymarket · refreshes every 60s
Market-implied probabilities are what traders on real-money prediction markets are collectively pricing — they are observations, not forecasts by Monitoring, and not an endorsement of any party, candidate, or outcome. This page is information and entertainment only: it is not political advice, not betting advice, not a recommendation to wager, and not affiliated with any bookmaker or exchange.