Dashboard/Predictions/US Midterms 2026
Live · market-implied

US Midterms 2026

Who controls Congress, according to real money. Market-implied probabilities for Senate and House control, read live from prediction markets — not pundits, not polls, the crowd's actual positions, tracked all the way to November.

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Market-implied probabilities are what traders on real-money prediction markets are collectively pricing — they are observations, not forecasts by Monitoring, and not an endorsement of any party, candidate, or outcome. This page is information and entertainment only: it is not political advice, not betting advice, not a recommendation to wager, and not affiliated with any bookmaker or exchange.

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Data: Polymarket · Monitoring Room