US Midterms 2026
Who controls Congress, according to real money. Market-implied probabilities for Senate and House control, read live from prediction markets — not pundits, not polls, the crowd's actual positions, tracked all the way to November.
→ What's priced right now: House vs Senate vs balance of powerMarkets tracked
9
chamber-control markets
Resolves
Nov 2026
US general election
24h volume
$129K
across tracked markets
Democratic Party
Democrats Sweep
D Senate, R House
R Senate, D House
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Republicans Sweep
Republican Party
Other
As of Tue, 18 Aug 2026 02:38:42 GMT · source: Polymarket · refreshes every 60s
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Market-implied probabilities are what traders on real-money prediction markets are collectively pricing — they are observations, not forecasts by Monitoring, and not an endorsement of any party, candidate, or outcome. This page is information and entertainment only: it is not political advice, not betting advice, not a recommendation to wager, and not affiliated with any bookmaker or exchange.