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Forecasts — call what happens next

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Earthquakes

4 open

Will a magnitude 6.0+ earthquake strike the Japan region between 6–11 October 2026?

—no calls yet

Calls close 11 Oct, 00:00 UTC · Resolves from earthquake.usgs.gov

Will a magnitude 5.5+ earthquake strike the California region between 6–31 October 2026?

—no calls yet

Calls close 30 Oct, 00:00 UTC · Resolves from earthquake.usgs.gov

Will a magnitude 6.0+ earthquake strike the Indonesia region between 6–31 October 2026?

—no calls yet

Calls close 30 Oct, 00:00 UTC · Resolves from earthquake.usgs.gov

Will a magnitude 7.0+ earthquake strike anywhere in the world between 6–31 October 2026?

—no calls yet

Calls close 30 Oct, 00:00 UTC · Resolves from earthquake.usgs.gov

Crypto hacks

3 open

Will a crypto hack of $10M or more happen between 7–11 October 2026?

—no calls yet

Calls close 11 Oct, 00:00 UTC · Resolves from defillama.com

Will a crypto hack of $50M or more happen between 7–31 October 2026?

—no calls yet

Calls close 30 Oct, 00:00 UTC · Resolves from defillama.com

Will a crypto hack of $100M or more happen between 7 October 2026 – 31 December 2026?

—no calls yet

Calls close 30 Dec, 00:00 UTC · Resolves from defillama.com

Stablecoin pegs

3 open

Outages

2 open

Will Kraken report a major or critical incident between 6–31 October 2026?

—no calls yet

Calls close 30 Oct, 00:00 UTC · Resolves from status.kraken.com

Elections

2 open

Will Democrats win a majority of US House seats in the 3 November 2026 midterm elections?

—no calls yet

Calls close 3 Nov, 10:00 UTC · Resolves from clerk.house.gov

Will Republicans control the US Senate after the 3 November 2026 midterm elections?

—no calls yet

Calls close 3 Nov, 10:00 UTC · Resolves from senate.gov

Closed and resolved

Forecasts are information, not advice. No stakes, no prizes, no payouts. Each call is kept with its time; the daily crowd consensus is published openly, individual calls are not.